Don't have much of a take on swim/bike fitness and heat acclimation this month as opposed to January of 2013 and 2014, but just took a quick look at prior year Aquabike times (I wasn't here for it last year) to get some kind of a sense:
2013: swim 51:03, bike 3:15:04, total race time 4:11:11
2014: swim 1:05:06 (very rough sea that year), bike 3:20:02, total race time 4:30:39
I suspect my bike fitness may be a bit worse but the superior equipment should compensate for that in terms of time on course. A lot of it depends on wind. Will prepare to be out there for 4.5hr total, it would take unusual conditions I think for it to be much longer than that? We will see, anyway!
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